IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.5	#200
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.7	#235
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.2	#168

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.7	#247

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.9%	13.0%	7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.5	14.3	14.9

.500 or above	52.1%	66.6%	40.3%
.500 or above in Conference	61.5%	70.3%	54.4%
Conference Champion	11.6%	15.8%	8.1%
Last Place in Conference	7.0%	4.2%	9.3%

First Four	1.3%	1.2%	1.4%
First Round	9.3%	12.5%	6.7%
Second Round	0.6%	0.9%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Home) - 44.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 6	4 - 10
Quad 4	12 - 5	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	130	Northeastern	L	71-72	45%
Nov 13, 2019	84	@ Vermont	L	63-75	14%
Nov 16, 2019	334	New Hampshire	W	72-60	86%
Nov 19, 2019	78	@ South Carolina	L	68-80	14%
Nov 22, 2019	46	@ West Virginia	L	68-84	8%
Nov 26, 2019	214	Northern Colorado	W	70-69	52%
Dec 04, 2019	190	@ George Washington	L	69-72	39%
Dec 07, 2019	339	@ Binghamton	W	73-66	73%
Dec 14, 2019	193	Dartmouth	W	73-70	59%
Dec 21, 2019	263	@ Umass Lowell	W	78-77	51%
Dec 29, 2019	304	@ Merrimack	W	73-70	59%
Jan 02, 2020	261	Lafayette	W	78-72	69%
Jan 05, 2020	184	@ American	L	69-73	38%
Jan 08, 2020	227	Lehigh	W	80-76	63%
Jan 11, 2020	244	Army	W	75-70	67%
Jan 13, 2020	209	@ Loyola Maryland	L	73-75	42%
Jan 18, 2020	127	@ Colgate	L	69-77	26%
Jan 22, 2020	267	Navy	W	73-67	70%
Jan 25, 2020	312	@ Holy Cross	W	68-65	62%
Jan 29, 2020	209	Loyola Maryland	W	76-72	61%
Feb 01, 2020	159	@ Bucknell	L	72-78	32%
Feb 05, 2020	244	@ Army	L	72-73	48%
Feb 08, 2020	312	Holy Cross	W	71-62	78%
Feb 10, 2020	127	Colgate	L	72-74	43%
Feb 15, 2020	267	@ Navy	W	71-70	51%
Feb 19, 2020	261	@ Lafayette	L	75-76	50%
Feb 23, 2020	184	American	W	72-70	58%
Feb 26, 2020	227	@ Lehigh	L	77-79	44%
Feb 29, 2020	159	Bucknell	W	75-74	51%
Projected Record						15 - 14	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.7	1.8	3.1	3.0	1.9	0.8	0.2		11.6	1st
2nd											0.2	1.5	3.9	4.5	2.3	0.6	0.1				13.0	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	2.0	4.9	4.0	1.4	0.2	0.0					12.7	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.3	5.0	3.6	0.9	0.1							12.2	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	2.5	5.2	3.2	0.6	0.0								11.8	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	2.2	4.8	2.6	0.4	0.0									10.3	6th
7th					0.0	0.4	2.3	4.5	2.5	0.3	0.0										10.0	7th
8th				0.1	0.4	2.0	3.2	1.9	0.2	0.0											7.9	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.7	1.8	2.5	1.1	0.2	0.0												6.4	9th
10th	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.1	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0													4.1	10th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.9	3.4	5.3	7.1	9.0	10.4	10.6	10.9	10.8	9.4	7.7	5.6	3.6	2.0	0.8	0.2			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	0.8		0.8	0.0
16-2	95.4%	1.9		1.7	0.2	0.0
15-3	82.5%	3.0		2.1	0.8	0.1
14-4	55.1%	3.1		1.6	1.2	0.3	0.0
13-5	23.2%	1.8		0.5	0.8	0.3	0.1
12-6	7.6%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-7	1.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.1%	0.0						0.0		0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	11.6%	11.6		7.0	3.3	1.0	0.2	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		68.7%	59.3%	9.4%	11.1							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		23.0%
17-1	0.8%		53.4%	52.3%	1.1%	12.9										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.4		2.3%
16-2	2.0%		41.1%	40.6%	0.5%	13.1												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	1.2		0.9%
15-3	3.6%		33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	13.7												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0	2.4		0.0%
14-4	5.6%		26.2%	26.2%		14.2													0.0	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.1	4.1
13-5	7.7%		19.3%	19.3%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.2	6.2
12-6	9.4%		15.2%	15.2%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	0.5	8.0
11-7	10.8%		10.5%	10.5%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	9.6
10-8	10.9%		6.2%	6.2%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	10.2
9-9	10.6%		5.4%	5.4%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.5	10.0
8-10	10.4%		2.6%	2.6%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	10.1
7-11	9.0%		1.6%	1.6%		15.9																0.0	0.1	8.9
6-12	7.1%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																0.0	0.1	7.0
5-13	5.3%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	5.3
4-14	3.4%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	3.4
3-15	1.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	1.9
2-16	1.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	1.0
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		9.9%	9.8%	0.0%	14.5							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.5	2.2	2.8	2.8	90.1		0.0%